Michigan
W-L: (35-22) PR = 95.8344Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 213 A Oregon State WC (42-16, 96.3) 5- 3 214 A Stanford ACC (29-25, 94.6) 7- 6 215 H Arizona B12 (17-36, 93.8) 4- 1 216 A Oregon State WC (42-16, 96.3) 4- 5 220 H Cornell IVY ( 1- 3, 95.5) 1- 5 221 H Louisville ACC (29-27, 96.2) 8- 5 222 A Kansas State B12 (30-27, 96.6) 6-10 227 A San Diego WC (20-30, 92.6) 5- 6 228 A San Diego WC (20-30, 92.6) 9- 0 301 A San Diego WC (20-30, 92.6) 9- 2 303 H Oklahoma SEC (40-25, 97.1) 8- 2 305 H Oklahoma SEC (40-25, 97.1) 17- 2 306 H Utah Tech WAC (12-10, 93.3) 8- 5 307 A Pepperdine WC (21-33, 91.5) 5- 2 310 H Western Michigan MA ( 5- 8, 92.5) 3- 2 313 A UCLA B10 (48-12, 98.4) 5-10 314 A UCLA B10 (48-12, 98.4) 0- 2 315 A UCLA B10 (48-12, 98.4) 2- 7 318 A Northern Kentucky HL ( 2-13, 89.5) 2- 1 320 H Nebraska B10 (41-17, 97.0) 2- 1 321 A Louisville ACC (29-27, 96.2) 0- 2 322 H Nebraska B10 (41-17, 97.0) 5- 9 324 H Oakland HL ( 4-13, 91.1) 6- 7 325 H Toledo MA ( 6-13, 93.3) 5- 2 327 A Rutgers B10 (25-31, 93.9) 3- 4 328 A Rutgers B10 (25-31, 93.9) 11- 5 329 A Rutgers B10 (25-31, 93.9) 6- 2 402 H Oregon B10 (44-17, 97.1) 10- 0 403 H Oregon B10 (44-17, 97.1) 2- 5 404 H Oregon B10 (44-17, 97.1) 4- 3 406 A Eastern Michigan MA ( 1- 8, 89.2) 15- 4 407 H Central Michigan MA ( 3- 8, 92.3) 6- 4 410 H Clemson ACC (32-25, 95.6) 4- 9 411 A Michigan State B10 (26-28, 95.0) 6- 4 412 A Michigan State B10 (26-28, 95.0) 5-10 414 A Toledo MA ( 6-13, 93.3) 6- 4 417 H Northwestern B10 (20-30, 92.5) 7- 6 418 H Northwestern B10 (20-30, 92.5) 8- 3 419 H Northwestern B10 (20-30, 92.5) 2- 1 421 A Miami MA (22-13, 96.4) 10-12 422 H Bowling Green MA ( 1- 7, 91.3) 9- 6 424 H Washington B10 (24-32, 93.9) 8- 7 425 H Washington B10 (24-32, 93.9) 4- 3 426 H Washington B10 (24-32, 93.9) 5- 7 501 A Maryland B10 (27-28, 94.8) 2- 1 502 A Maryland B10 (27-28, 94.8) 17- 5 503 A Maryland B10 (27-28, 94.8) 8- 7 508 A Minnesota B10 (31-21, 97.3) 1-13 509 A Minnesota B10 (31-21, 97.3) 9- 8 510 A Minnesota B10 (31-21, 97.3) 8- 5 512 A Kent State MA ( 8- 4, 95.1) 3- 5 514 A Illinois B10 (27-27, 95.1) 2- 4 515 A Western Kentucky CUSA (28-27, 94.4) 3- 3 516 H Ohio State B10 (31-22, 95.0) 1- 8 519 H Rutgers B10 (25-31, 93.9) 10- 0 520 H Washington B10 (24-32, 93.9) 1- 7 521 A Ohio State B10 (31-22, 95.0) 3- 0 522 A Nebraska B10 (41-17, 97.0) 4- 6
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
213 A Oregon State 5- 3 2 -1 + 3.12
214 A Stanford 7- 6 1 1 0.40
215 H Arizona 4- 1 3 3 0.31
216 A Oregon State 4- 5 -1 -1 0.12
220 H Cornell 1- 5 -4 1 -- -5.00
221 H Louisville 8- 5 3 0 + 2.69
222 A Kansas State 6-10 -4 -1 - -2.54
227 A San Diego 5- 6 -1 3 - -3.56
228 A San Diego 9- 0 9 3 +++ 6.44
301 A San Diego 9- 2 7 3 ++ 4.44
303 H Oklahoma 8- 2 6 -1 +++ 6.55
305 H Oklahoma 17- 2 15 -1 +++ 14.55
306 H Utah Tech 8- 5 3 3 -0.26
307 A Pepperdine 5- 2 3 4 -0.69
310 H Western Michigan 3- 2 1 4 - -3.00
313 A UCLA 5-10 -5 -3 -1.74
314 A UCLA 0- 2 -2 -3 1.26
315 A UCLA 2- 7 -5 -3 -1.74
318 A Northern Kentucky 2- 1 1 6 -- -4.63
320 H Nebraska 2- 1 1 -1 1.53
321 A Louisville 0- 2 -2 -1 -0.96
322 H Nebraska 5- 9 -4 -1 - -3.47
324 H Oakland 6- 7 -1 5 --- -6.37
325 H Toledo 5- 2 3 3 -0.24
327 A Rutgers 3- 4 -1 1 - -2.26
328 A Rutgers 11- 5 6 1 ++ 4.74
329 A Rutgers 6- 2 4 1 + 2.74
402 H Oregon 10- 0 10 -1 +++ 10.61
403 H Oregon 2- 5 -3 -1 - -2.39
404 H Oregon 4- 3 1 -1 1.61
406 A Eastern Michigan 15- 4 11 6 ++ 5.09
407 H Central Michigan 6- 4 2 4 - -2.18
410 H Clemson 4- 9 -5 1 -- -5.87
411 A Michigan State 6- 4 2 0 1.88
412 A Michigan State 5-10 -5 0 -- -5.12
414 A Toledo 6- 4 2 2 0.11
417 H Northwestern 7- 6 1 4 - -3.00
418 H Northwestern 8- 3 5 4 1.00
419 H Northwestern 2- 1 1 4 - -3.00
421 A Miami 10-12 -2 -1 -0.71
422 H Bowling Green 9- 6 3 5 - -2.18
424 H Washington 8- 7 1 3 -1.64
425 H Washington 4- 3 1 3 -1.64
426 H Washington 5- 7 -2 3 -- -4.64
501 A Maryland 2- 1 1 0 0.63
502 A Maryland 17- 5 12 0 +++ 11.63
503 A Maryland 8- 7 1 0 0.63
508 A Minnesota 1-13 -12 -2 --- -9.82
509 A Minnesota 9- 8 1 -2 + 3.18
510 A Minnesota 8- 5 3 -2 ++ 5.18
512 A Kent State 3- 5 -2 0 - -2.02
514 A Illinois 2- 4 -2 0 - -2.01
515 A Western Kentucky 3- 3 0 1 -0.80
516 H Ohio State 1- 8 -7 1 --- -8.48
519 H Rutgers 10- 0 10 3 +++ 7.38
520 H Washington 1- 7 -6 3 --- -8.64
521 A Ohio State 3- 0 3 0 + 2.87
522 A Nebraska 4- 6 -2 -2 -0.12
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UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 324 H Oakland 6- 7 -1 5 --- -6.37 508 A Minnesota 1-13 -12 -2 --- -9.82 516 H Ohio State 1- 8 -7 1 --- -8.48 520 H Washington 1- 7 -6 3 --- -8.64 220 H Cornell 1- 5 -4 1 -- -5.00 318 A Northern Kentucky 2- 1 1 6 -- -4.63 410 H Clemson 4- 9 -5 1 -- -5.87 412 A Michigan State 5-10 -5 0 -- -5.12 426 H Washington 5- 7 -2 3 -- -4.64 222 A Kansas State 6-10 -4 -1 - -2.54 227 A San Diego 5- 6 -1 3 - -3.56 310 H Western Michigan 3- 2 1 4 - -3.00 322 H Nebraska 5- 9 -4 -1 - -3.47 327 A Rutgers 3- 4 -1 1 - -2.26 403 H Oregon 2- 5 -3 -1 - -2.39 407 H Central Michigan 6- 4 2 4 - -2.18 417 H Northwestern 7- 6 1 4 - -3.00 419 H Northwestern 2- 1 1 4 - -3.00 422 H Bowling Green 9- 6 3 5 - -2.18 512 A Kent State 3- 5 -2 0 - -2.02 514 A Illinois 2- 4 -2 0 - -2.01 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 228 A San Diego 9- 0 9 3 +++ 6.44 303 H Oklahoma 8- 2 6 -1 +++ 6.55 305 H Oklahoma 17- 2 15 -1 +++ 14.55 402 H Oregon 10- 0 10 -1 +++ 10.61 502 A Maryland 17- 5 12 0 +++ 11.63 519 H Rutgers 10- 0 10 3 +++ 7.38 301 A San Diego 9- 2 7 3 ++ 4.44 328 A Rutgers 11- 5 6 1 ++ 4.74 406 A Eastern Michigan 15- 4 11 6 ++ 5.09 510 A Minnesota 8- 5 3 -2 ++ 5.18 213 A Oregon State 5- 3 2 -1 + 3.12 221 H Louisville 8- 5 3 0 + 2.69 329 A Rutgers 6- 2 4 1 + 2.74 509 A Minnesota 9- 8 1 -2 + 3.18 521 A Ohio State 3- 0 3 0 + 2.87 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 28.92
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Oregon State (42-16, 96.3) 5- 3 -3.62 14.80 0.68 0.50 15.44
3 A Stanford (29-25, 94.6) 7- 6 -5.34 13.08 0.68 0.50 13.72
3 H Arizona (17-36, 93.8) 4- 1 -6.08 12.35 -0.68 0.50 11.64
3 A Oregon State (42-16, 96.3) 4- 5 -3.62 14.80 0.68 0.50 -0.73
3 H Cornell ( 1- 3, 95.5) 1- 5 -4.39 14.04 -0.68 0.50 -1.26
3 H Louisville (29-27, 96.2) 8- 5 -3.70 14.73 -0.68 0.50 14.01
3 A Kansas State (30-27, 96.6) 6-10 -3.28 15.14 0.68 0.50 -0.65
3 A San Diego (20-30, 92.6) 5- 6 -7.30 11.12 0.68 0.50 -1.65
3 A San Diego (20-30, 92.6) 9- 0 -7.30 11.12 0.68 0.50 11.77
3 A San Diego (20-30, 92.6) 9- 2 -7.30 11.12 0.68 0.50 11.77
3 H Oklahoma (40-25, 97.1) 8- 2 -2.84 15.59 -0.68 0.50 14.87
3 H Oklahoma (40-25, 97.1) 17- 2 -2.84 15.59 -0.68 0.50 14.87
3 H Utah Tech (12-10, 93.3) 8- 5 -6.65 11.78 -0.68 0.50 11.07
3 A Pepperdine (21-33, 91.5) 5- 2 -8.43 9.99 0.68 0.50 10.64
3 H Western Michig ( 5- 8, 92.5) 3- 2 -7.39 11.04 -0.68 0.50 10.34
3 A UCLA (48-12, 98.4) 5-10 -1.48 16.94 0.68 0.50 -0.20
3 A UCLA (48-12, 98.4) 0- 2 -1.48 16.94 0.68 0.50 -0.20
3 A UCLA (48-12, 98.4) 2- 7 -1.48 16.94 0.68 0.50 -0.20
3 A Northern Kentu ( 2-13, 89.5) 2- 1 -10.38 8.05 0.68 0.50 8.70
3 H Nebraska (41-17, 97.0) 2- 1 -2.86 15.57 -0.68 0.50 14.85
3 A Louisville (29-27, 96.2) 0- 2 -3.70 14.73 0.68 0.50 -0.75
3 H Nebraska (41-17, 97.0) 5- 9 -2.86 15.57 -0.68 0.50 -0.88
3 H Oakland ( 4-13, 91.1) 6- 7 -8.76 9.67 -0.68 0.50 -2.35
3 H Toledo ( 6-13, 93.3) 5- 2 -6.63 11.80 -0.68 0.50 11.09
3 A Rutgers (25-31, 93.9) 3- 4 -6.01 12.42 0.68 0.50 -1.33
3 A Rutgers (25-31, 93.9) 11- 5 -6.01 12.42 0.68 0.50 13.06
3 A Rutgers (25-31, 93.9) 6- 2 -6.01 12.42 0.68 0.50 13.06
3 H Oregon (44-17, 97.1) 10- 0 -2.78 15.65 -0.68 0.50 14.93
3 H Oregon (44-17, 97.1) 2- 5 -2.78 15.65 -0.68 0.50 -0.86
3 H Oregon (44-17, 97.1) 4- 3 -2.78 15.65 -0.68 0.50 14.93
3 A Eastern Michig ( 1- 8, 89.2) 15- 4 -10.65 7.78 0.68 0.50 8.43
3 H Central Michig ( 3- 8, 92.3) 6- 4 -7.57 10.86 -0.68 0.50 10.16
3 H Clemson (32-25, 95.6) 4- 9 -4.26 14.17 -0.68 0.50 -1.23
3 A Michigan State (26-28, 95.0) 6- 4 -4.86 13.57 0.68 0.50 14.21
3 A Michigan State (26-28, 95.0) 5-10 -4.86 13.57 0.68 0.50 -1.04
3 A Toledo ( 6-13, 93.3) 6- 4 -6.63 11.80 0.68 0.50 12.44
3 H Northwestern (20-30, 92.5) 7- 6 -7.38 11.04 -0.68 0.50 10.34
3 H Northwestern (20-30, 92.5) 8- 3 -7.38 11.04 -0.68 0.50 10.34
3 H Northwestern (20-30, 92.5) 2- 1 -7.38 11.04 -0.68 0.50 10.34
3 A Miami (22-13, 96.4) 10-12 -3.46 14.97 0.68 0.50 -0.69
3 H Bowling Green ( 1- 7, 91.3) 9- 6 -8.57 9.86 -0.68 0.50 9.16
3 H Washington (24-32, 93.9) 8- 7 -6.03 12.40 -0.68 0.50 11.69
3 H Washington (24-32, 93.9) 4- 3 -6.03 12.40 -0.68 0.50 11.69
3 H Washington (24-32, 93.9) 5- 7 -6.03 12.40 -0.68 0.50 -1.67
3 A Maryland (27-28, 94.8) 2- 1 -5.11 13.31 0.68 0.50 13.95
3 A Maryland (27-28, 94.8) 17- 5 -5.11 13.31 0.68 0.50 13.95
3 A Maryland (27-28, 94.8) 8- 7 -5.11 13.31 0.68 0.50 13.95
3 A Minnesota (31-21, 97.3) 1-13 -2.56 15.86 0.68 0.50 -0.47
3 A Minnesota (31-21, 97.3) 9- 8 -2.56 15.86 0.68 0.50 16.49
3 A Minnesota (31-21, 97.3) 8- 5 -2.56 15.86 0.68 0.50 16.49
3 A Kent State ( 8- 4, 95.1) 3- 5 -4.77 13.66 0.68 0.50 -1.02
3 A Illinois (27-27, 95.1) 2- 4 -4.75 13.67 0.68 0.50 -1.02
3 A Western Kentuc (28-27, 94.4) 3- 3 -5.55 12.88 0.68 0.50 0.00
3 H Ohio State (31-22, 95.0) 1- 8 -4.87 13.56 -0.68 0.50 -1.38
3 H Rutgers (25-31, 93.9) 10- 0 -6.01 12.42 -0.68 0.50 11.71
3 H Washington (24-32, 93.9) 1- 7 -6.03 12.40 -0.68 0.50 -1.67
3 A Ohio State (31-22, 95.0) 3- 0 -4.87 13.56 0.68 0.50 14.19
3 A Nebraska (41-17, 97.0) 4- 6 -2.86 15.57 0.68 0.50 -0.54
------
418.47
|
winning pts = 440.2945 losing points = -21.8197
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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